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GCC nations drive global sukuk market, projected to reach $200 billion in 2025

The Middle East accounted for about 25-30% of the global sustainable sukuk issuance in 2024, hitting $11.9 billion.

GCC nations drive global sukuk market, projected to reach $200 billion in 2025
[Source photo: Chetan Jha/Fast Company Middle East ]

Global sukuk issuance is projected to reach between $190 billion and $200 billion in 2025, driven by expected growth in the GCC region, according to a senior analyst at S&P Global Ratings. In 2024, total issuance stood at $193.4 billion, a slight decrease from $197.8 billion in 2023.

Foreign currency-denominated sukuk is expected to contribute between $70 billion and $80 billion to this year’s total, marking a 29% increase to $72.7 billion in 2024.

Saudi Arabia and Kuwait led the way for foreign currency sukuk issuance in 2024, with banks, corporations, and the Saudi government increasing their foreign currency sukuk, according to Mohamed Damak, Head of Islamic Finance at S&P Global Ratings. Banks and corporations in Qatar and Oman also became more active in this segment, while the UAE saw a slight decrease in foreign currency sukuk issuance compared to the previous year. Damak noted, “We expect foreign currency-denominated issuance to remain elevated in 2025.”

Sustainable sukuk issuance reached $11.9 billion in 2024, up from $11.4 billion in 2023. The Middle East accounted for about 25-30% of the global total. “We expect the issuance volume of sustainable sukuk to remain around $10 to $12 billion in 2025 unless there is a significant acceleration in implementing net zero policies by key Islamic finance countries or new regulatory actions,” Damak said.

Saudi Arabia accounted for the largest share of sustainable sukuk issuance in 2024, with 38%, largely driven by local bank issuances. While the UAE’s sustainable sukuk issuance dropped by 60% compared to 2023, it still represented 15% of the total.

“We anticipate an acceleration in issuance if GCC issuers accelerate their climate transition efforts, set new renewable energy targets, or if regulators offer incentives for sustainable issuance,” Damak added.

Damak also indicated that monetary easing is expected to continue into 2025, though slower than previously expected. “This, combined with high financing needs in key Islamic finance countries due to ongoing economic diversification programs, will lead issuers to seize any opportunities to issue in the market,” he explained.

While geopolitical risks have not yet significantly impacted sukuk issuance, they may pose potential downside risks, Damak warned. S&P also anticipates that the full impact of adopting Standard 62 from the Accounting and Auditing Organization for Islamic Financial Institutions will be felt in 2026 as the organization continues to gather market feedback.

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